Tuesday, January 15, 2002
Will South Africa go in?

I've predicted (wrongly) that the British were about to go into Zimbabwe. Instead they went into Sierra Leone. Well here's another prediction, South Africa will go in. The radical Pan Africanist Congress has backed Mugabe's land invasion. This could mean a wave of farm seizures south of the Limpopo if Mugabe is unchecked. This is going to put the pressure up on the business friendly South African government.

Another sign - Blair's in talks with Mbeki on Zim. Could be a formality, maybe not.

If they do go in then the British government needs to do two things. (1) Stop worrying about sovereignty. If Zimbabwe can't defend its sovereignty against its neighbour it doesn't deserve it. (2) Don't help South Africa, this is none of Britain's business.


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